Mar 18, 2016
jsollender dunno why @CTH1 car is delayed, as I just saw VIN 941 P90 get offloaded from the truck at the DS here in Denver on 3/16, so the pipeline for deliveries of VINs in the 900 range is ongoing. The car tags showed it left CA on 3/12 and finished at factor on 3/7....�
Mar 18, 2016
dwebb66 VIN 001239 is being picked up at the factory on Monday the 21st.�
Apr 5, 2016
jsollender With TMC stating they delivered 2400 MX in Q1, and had ramp of 750 cars/week output from Fremont, that's 3000 cars a month as long as suppliers don't constrain production. That's great news for all of configured/confirmed orders to move along. I'm just not sure when they will turn on the 5-seat production variants. Looking at modelxtracker.com, it only shows 144 deliveries in Q1, meaning each listing on this unofficial site represents about 16 customers. I know now that original reservation sequence numbers are meaningless, with mine being in the mid-16,000 range. Making wide margin or error cancellations of 15-25%, that would put me somewhere in the 12-13,000 range of real orders. With 2400 plus December's pittance deliveries, that leaves 10,000 cars ahead of me. Thus, at 3,000 cars output per month, that seems to point to 3+ months to get my delivery, which is smack dab in "mid-2016" as claimed at order for 5-seater. Anyone else feel that their delivery is anticipated to be on time, or Tesla-Time (late)?
Also, is there any rhyme or reason to VIN assignments? I have not seen any VIN's since 3/11/16 but for a few random assignments later in March. I cant figure out when TMC blasts out VIN assignments. Seems completely random...�
Apr 5, 2016
MorrisonHiker My reservation number was low 17000s. I received an email earlier this week that said "If you confirm now, the estimated delivery window is April/May 2016" so your wait might not be 3 months if you placed your order now.
Because of the non-folding seats and limited time in an X, I'm 95% sure I will not be getting an X but will most likely get an S instead.�
Apr 5, 2016
jsollender still that goading you to confirm will get you (or anyone) an X in April/May if you go for the currently produced P90 version or 90D version as long as you get the premium upgrade and 6-7 seats, not the 5 seater straight 90D (no premium)...Colorado Rules!!!! (Greenwood Village...)�
Apr 5, 2016
Oloron I think looking at reservations is deceptive since we have no idea how many people have cancelled or are staying "reserved" but not ordering until they have more info. (test drive, etc.)
Tesla has released about 5300 production VIN's. (there is a single reported VIN around 11000 in modelxtracker, but since it's such an outlier, I'd consider that a typo unless confirmed) This appears to be enough to cover expected deliveries through late April/early May, given that new orders (for 90's with 6 or 7 seats) are being told they can order now and get late April/early May delivery. Also, those 5300 appear to be almost all the non-5 seat 90's that were confirmed orders as of March 11th.
Add on roughly the same number of non-5 90's for 1) new orders since the 11th, 2) trade-up orders from 70's and 5 seat 90's, and 3) some international deliveries. So, figure another 5000 or so cars to be delivered after early May from those groups at a rate of 700 or so a week. That pushes things to the end of June.
Given all that, Tesla would be in a position to start delivering reserved 5-seat 90's and the 70's in July. The big question is if they will prioritize new premium 90 orders ahead of the "reserved" 5-seats and 70's after they've opened up the design studio.
Regarding the VIN's, the logic (as well as any outsider can know) appears to be that they are batching things by configuration and geography for production. Doing large batches, like the 5000 we saw in March, makes that more efficient. I suspect the next VIN's we see assigned will be a similar burst of 5000. Prediction is always dangerous, but I suspect we'll see another batch of 5,000 or so issued sometime in the next week.�
Apr 5, 2016
vandacca A variable you forgot to factor in is the "5-seat design" being ready for production. The bottleneck could be the design engineers.�
Apr 5, 2016
jsollender Throw in the EM Tweet to the 5-seat reservist who he told that he would have his 5-seater in 1-2 weeks max (from 2 days ago) unless EM mis-read the tweet from a Mr. Lipstone....but that's another thread in this forum...�
Apr 5, 2016
Oloron Very true. There could also be engineering/parts hold-ups on other configurations that haven't seen delivery yet. (70 battery pack, cloth seats, and standard suspension all spring to mind.)
Similarly, if some random component common to all build types isn't available due to a supplier mess-up, that would delay all deliveries.�
Apr 5, 2016
jason1466 Not sure the premium plays a part, as I configured 3/6, confirmed 3/13, and got VIN 52xx on 3/14 (seems to be the last time they assigned VINs perhaps, and I was just lucky to be included timing wise). I do not have the premium package. I know others without the premium have even lower VINs, so we will see soon enough if non-premium matters, and more importantly what non-premium even means.�
Apr 5, 2016
umeshunni non-premium with 22xx VIN here. My car is apparently 'built' but in QC and I've been told to expect at mid-April delivery.�
Apr 6, 2016
Dimitar Atanasov Just got VIN!!! Yay!
90D pearl white 7 seat, 22" black onyx wheels, all options except fidelity sound and cold weather! VIN 055XX�
Apr 6, 2016
mikevbf Congrats. That sounds like progress.�
Apr 6, 2016
K-MTG Got my VIN as well: 57xx�
Apr 6, 2016
mikevbf Congrats, that must be a relief.�
Apr 6, 2016
Colby Boles Non-premium P90DL here with 24xx VIN ordered back on 12/29. Have been told February, then March, then "early April", now "April". Non-premium, or at least the cloth seats has almost definitely held back my order. I could see a point down the road when this would have little impact though.�
Apr 7, 2016
Librae non-premium 90D here with 53xx VIN.�
Apr 7, 2016
Kutu VIN assigned, 90D, 6 seat, Silver, Black/Black interior, everything but HiFi - 58xx�
Apr 7, 2016
jsollender Are you all loading your data on modelxtracker.com? Jealous that I still don't have a VIN. Hoping they engineer the 5 seater sooner than July....�
Apr 8, 2016
Darryl There is a VIN of over 11000 in ModelXTracker. It is obvious a typo as the person is saying they took delivery. I have reached out to tgem without a response. It is throughing the numbers off in the system.�
Apr 8, 2016
K-MTG What is the real highest assigned VIN?�
Apr 9, 2016
Out4aDuck The highest seems to be 5878. It looks like about 570 VIN's were added this week.�
Apr 9, 2016
Paul Carter Let's remove it for now.�
Apr 10, 2016
Darmok I drove by the Las Vegas service/sales center today. There were about 10 Xs in the back, on the end was a lovely white one with a VIN in the mid 3700s. Just to give some idea, maybe, of where production stands.�
Apr 10, 2016
gjunky Vin 5883 entered�
Apr 11, 2016
Beene41 I'm VIN 101x and the car will be entering production this week. I'm surprised how high the VINs that have been delivered have gotten given that. P90DL with everything but tow package, 20" standard wheels.
I don't say that to complain. Just to point out there are still some low VINs to be delivered. Can barely wait for mine!�
Apr 11, 2016
wowor 6 Model X's just arrived in Austin today.�
Apr 11, 2016
loganintx I've yet to see one in Austin other than on YouTube. I'm slated for Mid to Late May.�
Apr 11, 2016
Pjjava34 @loganintx what is your vin range? Curious what options did you go
For?�
Apr 11, 2016
jasonchan i'm in the mid 2200 and took delivery about 1 1/2 weeks ago on 3/31. It was actually production complete on 3/29.�
Apr 11, 2016
wowor Looked like 3 were white, atleast 1 blue, not sure of the other colors.�
Apr 11, 2016
umeshunni So, are you affected by the recall?�
Apr 11, 2016
loganintx VIN - 0054xx
Confirmed Mar 28th
Options in signature�
Apr 16, 2016
jasonchan I am. They said it's up to 5 weeks for them to schedule and replace the part.�
Apr 17, 2016
Dimitar Atanasov Vin 555X here. Confirmed 3/28 as well. Scheduled for mid - late May as well
Seems like we will be in the same batch. 90D, Pearl white, 22" blk onyx, 7 seat, all other options minus cold weather and minus he High fidelity sound. Crossing fingers to be on time!�
Apr 17, 2016
K-MTG I was told late April for my 57xx, I already paid as well.�
Apr 17, 2016
Dimitar Atanasov You are in Cali. What's yr config by the way?
Please let me know if you get a shade
�
Apr 17, 2016
K-MTG Yup, can't wait for the shade. I have a 90D, solid black, premium package, 6 seats, tan seats�
Không có nhận xét nào:
Đăng nhận xét